Achieving Superior Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts by Improving the Assimilation of High-Resolution Satellite Data into mesoscale Prediction Models

Lead PI: Dr. Chris Velden, University of Wisconsin, Madison
Start Year: 2009 | Duration: 3 years
Partners: University of Miami, Rosentiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Naval Research Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, & National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The overarching goal of this NOPP initiative is to improve the accuracy and reliability of TC intensity forecasts; to extend the lead time for these forecasts with increased certainty; and to increase confidence in these forecasts. The objectives include three major focus areas: improved prediction capability in the atmosphere-wave-ocean-land interfaces; tropical cyclone rapid intensification; and prediction of mesoscale phenomena in the TC system.

Annual PI Reports:
FY 2010 PI Report
FY 2011 PI Report
FY 2012 PI Report